Climate Change Impacts on Groundwater Recharge in Cold and Humid Climates: Controlling Processes and Thresholds

نویسندگان

چکیده

Long-term changes in precipitation and temperature indirectly impact aquifers through groundwater recharge (GWR). Although estimates of future GWR are needed for water resource management, they uncertain cold humid climates due to the wide range possible climatic conditions. This work aims (1) simulate impacts climate change on regional a (2) identify leading significant long-term GWR. Spatially distributed is simulated case study southern Province Quebec (Canada, 36,000 km2) using budget model. Climate scenarios from global models indicate warming temperatures wetter conditions (RCP4.5 RCP8.5; 1951–2100). The results show that annual increases >+150 mm/yr or winter >+25 mm will lead significantly higher expected decrease if lower than these thresholds. Significant produced only when exceeds +2 °C. Temperature >+4.5 °C limit increase +30 mm/yr. provides useful insights into assessment climates, thus helping planning decisions as unfolds. be comparable those other regions with similar post-glacial geological environments

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Climate

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2225-1154']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/cli10010006